U.S. and Israeli intelligence described the scientist, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, as the force behind what they call Iran’s covert push for nuclear weapons.
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Here’s what happened:
- A brazen killing took place in an ambush.
- The killing could complicate Biden’s handling of the Iran nuclear deal.
- Iran asks U.N. leader to ‘strongly condemn’ the assassination.
- The assassinated scientist had long been a target of Israel’s Mossad.
- The assassination took place amid new tensions between Trump and Iran.
- Iranian media describe an explosion and gun battle on a town’s main boulevard.
- Iran commander vows ‘we will not rest’ until scientist is avenged.
A brazen killing took place in an ambush.
Iran’s top nuclear scientist, who American and Israeli intelligence have long charged was behind secret programs to design an atomic warhead, was shot and killed in an ambush on Friday as he was traveling in a vehicle in northern Iran, Iranian state media reported.
The scientist, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, believed to be 59, has been considered the driving force behind Iran’s nuclear weapons program for two decades, and continued to work after the main part of the effort was quietly disbanded in the early 2000s, according to American intelligence assessments and Iranian nuclear documents stolen by Israel.
One American official — along with two other intelligence officials — said that Israel was behind the attack on the scientist. It was unclear how much the United States may have known about the operation in advance, but the two nations are the closest of allies and have long shared intelligence regarding Iran. The White House and the C.I.A. declined to comment.
Gunmen waited along the road and attacked Mr. Fakhrizadeh as his car was driving through the countryside town of Absard, in the Damavand region, according to official Iranian media and state television. The state media accounts said that Mr. Fakhrizadeh had been gravely wounded in the attack, and that doctors tried to save him in the hospital but could not.
Iranian officials, who have long maintained that their nuclear program is strictly for peaceful purposes, not for weapons, called the attack an act of terror and vowed to take revenge.
“Terrorists murdered an eminent Iranian scientist today,” Iran’s foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, wrote on Twitter. “This cowardice — with serious indications of Israeli role — shows desperate warmongering of perpetrators.”
Mr. Zarif, an American-educated diplomat who is one of Iran’s most recognizable figures, said in the post that the international community — and especially the European Union — should “end their shameful double standards & condemn this act of state terror.”
The Pentagon’s former top Middle East policy official, Michael P. Mulroy, said the death of Mr. Fakhrizadeh was “a setback to Iran’s nuclear program.”
“He was their senior-most nuclear scientist and was believed to be responsible for Iran’s covert nuclear program,” Mr. Mulroy said in an email. “He was also a senior officer in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, and that will magnify Iran’s desire to respond by force.”
The killing could complicate Biden’s handling of the Iran nuclear deal.
Mr. Fakhrizadeh’s killing could have broad implications for the incoming Biden administration. It quickly set off a sharp reaction in Iran, as did the American attack on Jan. 3 that killed Qassim Suleimani, the Iranian major general who ran the elite Quds force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps.
The attack could also complicate the effort by President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. to revive the 2015 Iranian nuclear deal, as he has pledged to do, if the Iranians agree to return to the limits detailed in the accord.
President Trump withdrew the United States from the Iran nuclear deal in 2018, unraveling the signature foreign policy achievement of his predecessor, Barack Obama, and isolating the United States from Western allies who tried to keep the agreement intact. Mr. Trump then imposed stringent sanctions on Iran in an effort to force it back to the bargaining table, which Iran refused to do.
Israel has long opposed the nuclear deal, and if its agents were indeed responsible for the killing of a man considered a national hero, there could be political pressure in Iran to move forward with its current effort to gradually rebuild the stockpile of nuclear fuel that it gave up in 2015.
American officials would not comment on the assassination on Friday morning, saying they were seeking information. But some American officials argued that the death of Mr. Fakhrizadeh, the latest in a string of such mysterious killings of Iran’s top nuclear scientists, would send a chilling message to the country’s other top scientists working on that program: If we can get him, we can get you, too.
The killing of Mr. Fakhrizadeh comes just two weeks after intelligence officials confirmed that Al Qaeda’s second-highest leader was gunned down on the streets of Tehran by Israeli assassins on a motorcycle on Aug. 7, at the behest of the United States.
The Qaeda figure, Abdullah Ahmed Abdullah, went by the nom de guerre Abu Muhammad al-Masri and was accused of being one of the masterminds of the deadly 1998 attacks on two U.S. embassies in East Africa. He was killed along with his daughter, Miriam, the widow of Osama bin Laden’s son Hamza bin Laden.
Iran asks U.N. leader to ‘strongly condemn’ the assassination.
Iran’s U.N. ambassador warned Friday that his country reserved the right to “take all necessary measures” to defend itself, asserting in a letter to the leader of the United Nations that the assassination of Iran’s top nuclear scientist bore indications of an Israeli attack abetted by the United States.
The ambassador, Majid Takht Ravanchi, said he expected that António Guterres, the secretary general of the United Nations, and the 15-member Security Council would “strongly condemn this inhumane terrorist act and take necessary measures against its perpetrators.”
The letter, which was shared with The New York Times, said nothing of Mr. Fakhrizadeh’s alleged links to any Iranian weapons work, instead praising him for what Mr. Ravanchi called the scientist’s “outstanding role” in developing a Covid-19 test kit to help the country deal with the pandemic, which has struck Iranian particularly hard.
“Over the current decade, several top Iranian scientists have been targeted and assassinated in terrorist attacks and our firm evidence clearly indicates that certain foreign quarters have been behind such assassinations,” Mr. Ravanchi wrote, adding that Friday’s killing was “another desperate attempt to wreak havoc on our region as well as to disrupt Iran’s scientific and technological development.”
The assassinated scientist had long been a target of Israel’s Mossad.
A shadowy figure, Mr. Fakhrizadeh had long been the No. 1 target of the Mossad, Israel’s intelligence service, which is widely believed to be behind a series of assassinations of scientists a decade ago that included some of Mr. Fakhrizadeh’s deputies.
Iran never agreed to demands from the International Atomic Energy Agency, the United Nations’ nuclear monitoring agency, to let their inspectors question Mr. Fakhrizadeh, saying he was an academic who lectured at the Imam Hussein University in downtown Tehran.
Mr. Fakhrizadeh was an academic, but a series of classified reports, notably a lengthy 2007 assessment done by the C.I.A. for the George W. Bush administration, said the academic role was a cover story. In 2008, his name was added to a list of Iranian officials whose assets were ordered frozen by the United States.
That same year, his activities were disclosed in an unclassified briefing by the I.A.E.A.’s chief inspector. Later, it became clear that he ran what the Iranians called Projects 110 and 111 — an effort to tackle the most difficult problems bomb designers face as they try to make a warhead small enough to fit atop a missile and make it survive the rigors of re-entry into the atmosphere.
Iran has always denied it was seeking a nuclear weapon, insisting its production of nuclear material was purely for peaceful purposes. But an Israeli operation in early 2018 that stole a warehouse full of Iranian documents about “Project Amad,” what the Iranians called the nuclear weapons effort 20 years ago, included documents about Mr. Fakhrizadeh and his involvement.
Shortly thereafter, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel singled out Mr. Fakhrizadeh in a televised presentation, when he described the secret Israeli operation to seize the archive. Iran had lied about the purpose of its nuclear research, he charged, and he identified Mr. Fakhrizadeh as the leader of the Amad program.
Israeli officials, later backed up by American intelligence officials who reviewed the archive, said the scientist had kept elements of the program alive even after it was ostensibly abandoned. It was now being run covertly, Mr. Netanyahu argued, by an organization within Iran’s defense ministry known as S.P.N.D. He added: “You will not be surprised to hear that S.P.N.D. is led by the same person who led Project Amad, Dr. Fakhrizadeh.”
“And also, not coincidentally,” Mr. Netanyahu added, showing a picture that appeared to be Mr. Fakhrizadeh — there are only a handful of images of him that have been published — “many of S.P.N.D.’s key personnel worked under Fakhrizadeh on Project Amad.”
The assassination took place amid new tensions between Trump and Iran.
The assassination comes at a time of heightened tensions between Iran and the Trump administration. Mr. Trump was dissuaded from striking Iran just two weeks ago, after his aides warned it could escalate into a broader conflict during his last weeks in office.
Mr. Trump had asked senior advisers in an Oval Office meeting on Nov. 12 whether he had options to take action against Iran’s main nuclear site at Natanz in the coming weeks. Days later, Mike Pompeo, the secretary of state and former C.I.A. director, visited Israel on what will likely be his last trip there in office.
Attacking Iran to force it to stop expanding its nuclear program would be a significant blow to Mr. Biden, who wants to revive the 2015 Iran nuclear accord. Such a strike on the eve of a new administration could poison relations with Tehran to such an extent that negotiating a restoration of the deal, or toughening its terms, could be impossible.
Since Mr. Trump dismissed the secretary of defense, Mark T. Esper, and other top Pentagon aides last week, Defense Department and other national security officials have privately expressed worries that the president might initiate operations, whether overt or secret, against Iran or other adversaries at the end of his term. Others have speculated that Mr. Netanyahu, who at various moments has been on the edge of attacking Iran’s nuclear facilities, might seek to act while Mr. Trump is still in office.
While Mr. Trump’s top advisers — including Mr. Pompeo and Gen. Mark A. Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff — argued against a military strike against Iran, top American officials and commanders still warn of Iran’s malign activities.
“For decades, the Iranian regime has funded and supported terrorism and terrorist organizations,” Gen. Kenneth F. McKenzie Jr., the head of the military’s Central Command, said last week on a webinar about the Middle East.
Iranian media describe an explosion and gun battle on a town’s main boulevard.
Iran state media, in descriptions of the attack on Mr. Fakhrizadeh, said it happened on the main tree-lined boulevard in Absard, a countryside escape with majestic mountains, outside the capital, Tehran.
Pictures posted by state and social media of the attack aftermath showed the scientist’s vehicle, a black S.U.V., with its windshield shattered from bullets and the side windows blown out. Blood streaks and shards of glass and metal are scattered on the road.
Residents told state television that they heard the sound of a big explosion followed by intense machine gun fire. A Nissan truck was parked on the opposite side of the road, carrying explosives hidden in wood, state television reported. The truck exploded ahead of Mr. Fakhrizadeh’s car and then a group of five or six gunmen sitting in another car on the same side as Mr. Fakhrizadeh’s vehicle emerged and opened fire on his car, the report said.
An intense gun battle followed between the assassins and bodyguards trying to protect Mr. Fakhrizadeh, according to Sepah Cybery, a social media channel affiliated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps.
The truck bomb explosion damaged electricity poles and transmitters, according to a state TV report from the area on Friday night. The force of the explosion from the bomb hurled debris at least 300 meters, according to state television.
A police helicopter landed in the area to transport Mr. Fakhrizadeh and others to the hospital, according to a video posted by a resident who narrates the video saying “several people are dead.”
Iran commander vows ‘we will not rest’ until scientist is avenged.
Iran’s most senior military official warned on Friday that it would avenge Mr. Fakhrizadeh.
Brig. Gen. Mohammad Bagheri, chief of staff for the armed forces, said in a statement that “we assure you that we will not rest until we track down and take revenge on those responsible for the assassination of martyr Fakhrizadeh.”
Iranian officials and commentators from all political factions reacted with condemnation and defiance to the news. Some also acknowledged that Mr. Fakhrizadeh’s loss had created a significant void in the country’s pursuit of nuclear science but vowed that it would not halt the development of what it has repeatedly described as a peaceful nuclear program.
The commander in chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards, Maj. Gen. Hossein Salami, said “the assassination of our nuclear scientists is a clear violent war against our ability to achieve modern science.”
Some Iranian officials and politicians voiced concern over what apparently was a yawning security hole that they said had allowed Israeli operatives to infiltrate Iran.
“Israel has camped out here in a bad way. The recent events of this year make this clear,” a former vice president, Mohammad Ali Abtahi, said on Twitter. “Iran’s security strategy should be to find Mossad’s spies and informants.”
Ordinary Iranians expressed anxiety that the pattern of covert operations, which started this year with the American assassination of Mr. Suleimani, a top commander of the Revolutionary Guards, could cause a military confrontation between Iran and the United States.
“Suleimani and Fakhrizadeh were the architects of two pillars of Iran’s security policy: its proxy and nuclear programs,” said Ariane Tabatabai, an Iran expert with the German Marshall Fund of the United States. “Both helped create the infrastructure and develop the programs. But their deaths won’t lead to a fundamental change as institutions will continue the projects.”
Iran has ramped up its nuclear abilities since Trump ended the deal.
Iran has increasingly moved away from the limits imposed on its nuclear activities since Mr. Trump withdrew the United States from the 2015 nuclear agreement between Iran and big powers, describing it as “the worst deal.”
Under that agreement, which still technically exists, Iran exported practically all of its enriched uranium stockpile, took other steps to severely limit its nuclear capabilities, and allowed inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency to ensure its peaceful intentions. In return, the United States and its European partners lifted all nuclear-related sanctions, leading Iran to expect an economic boom.
But Mr. Trump restored the American sanctions in 2018 and has added more. After that, Iran restarted uranium enrichment and is once again amassing a stockpile of fuel that, in theory, could be refined for use in a bomb. Iran has argued that it is not bound by the nuclear agreement because the United States reneged on its commitments.
On Nov. 4, Iran said it had begun running a significant number of new, advanced uranium centrifuges, accelerating its enrichment capabilities and throwing the nuclear deal into further disarray. The announcement was Tehran’s third move in six months to ratchet up pressure on the West and force the United States to comply with the original agreement.
The big question now is how quickly Iran, with its new capacity, could produce the fuel needed for a single bomb. Some analysts say that it might be able to do so in less than a year.
Protests calling for war with U.S. erupt in Tehran.
Hard-line protesters calling for war with the United States staged a demonstration in Tehran outside the residence of President Hassan Rouhani on Friday night, hours after the assassination of Iran’s top nuclear scientist.
“No to submission, no to concession with America, only war with America!” a crowd of dozens of men chanted at the protest, as seen in videos shown on Iranian television and posted to social media. The demonstrators also called for expelling the international inspectors who are monitoring Iran’s nuclear program.
They held up signs reading “Silence is permission for more assassinations” and “Mr. President, they killed your minister’s adviser. Stop negotiation.”
Mr. Rouhani’s administration was already facing a tough battle with the country’s hard-line faction for any revival of the nuclear deal with the incoming administration of President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr.
The assassination is likely to harden the position of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has maintained Washington cannot be trusted regardless of which party is in power.
Mohammad Imani, a prominent hard-line columnist for the Keyhan newspaper that serves as Mr. Khamenei’s mouthpiece, wrote on Friday that the “Gentlemen sitting across the negotiating table are the same terrorists of Baghdad airport,” referring to the assassination in January of Maj. Gen. Qassim Suleimani, Iran’s top security and intelligence commander.
He added: “We cannot trust them.”
from Hacker News https://ift.tt/2HNb2J0
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